Shrinking Diesel Car Sales Open Up Growth Opportunities for Alternate Propulsion Systems

LONDON, April 28, 2016 /PRNewswire/ --

The recent diesel engine scandal has raised many questions on how emissions are being measured. Vehicle manufacturers are looking at various technologies to comply to CO2 and NOx obligations under challenging new testing procedures. Frost & Sullivan considers 2016 to be a challenging time for powertrain product portfolio units to carefully handpick the technologies for various compliance measures. Rightsizing of engines, advanced diesel and gasoline systems as well as most importantly the right combination of exhaust after treatment solutions and electrification may see them through.

For the very first time diesel sales could decrease below 50% of the market share in 2016. In the last 6 months, diesel light vehicle sales in the USA have decreased by more than 50%, while diesel car sales reduced by more than 15 times. Since 2011, the entire EU has been witnessing a decrease in diesel car sales. "This trend is expected to continue – a development not only electric cars benefit from," explains Frost & Sullivan Program Manager Anjan Hemanth Kumar. "But electrification is just one part of the solution. Even though recently electric car sales have experienced a surge, with sales growing by 265 percent in China and 82 percent in Europe in 2015, manufacturers will have to make sure to develop the appropriate powertrain portfolio."

Complementary, turbocharging and direct injection on gasoline engines are expected to grow by 15% globally in 2016 and diesel hybrids will penetrate wider range of vehicle segments for fuel economy boost and emission reduction. Key challenge for OEMs will be a quick technology adoption to comply with new regulations and changing test cycles. Recently, the industry experienced a shift of focus from CO2 emission reduction to NOx. Vehicle manufacturers are looking at various technologies to comply with CO2 and NOx obligations under challenging new testing procedures. This webcast will provide a perspective about what this will mean for the development of new engines as well as for the role of exhaust after treatment technologies in the future.

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Contact:
Jana Schoeneborn
Corporate Communications – Europe
P: +49 (0) 69 770 3343
E: jana.schoeneborn@frost.com

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